Impact of Dividend Declarations on Stock Prices During COVID-19 in India: An Event Study Approach

Authors

  • Mallesha L.
  • Archana H. N.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.33516/rb.v48i3-4.71-87p

Keywords:

Covid-19, Efficient Market Hypothesis, Event Study, Runs Test, Sub-Event Window

Abstract

This study aims to investigate the impact of dividend declarations on stock prices in the Indian stock market during the Covid-19 pandemic, where many companies faced unprecedented challenges due to the sudden onset of the pandemic. The study seeks to address the gap in research by exploring the relationship between dividends and stock prices during the pandemic. The research was conducted on S&P BSE 100 companies listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange. The event study methodology and runs test were used for the analysis. The estimated average abnormal returns and cumulative average abnormal returns were calculated 61 days in total, 30 days prior to and 30 days after the dividend declaration. Furthermore, the runs test was applied to determine if the abnormal returns were random. The study concluded that dividend declarations do not significantly affect stock returns during a stressful pandemic. The evidence suggests that in an efficient market, the stock prices quickly incorporate new information, indicating that generating abnormal profits in such a market is difficult.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Published

2023-01-01

How to Cite

L., M., & H. N., A. (2023). Impact of Dividend Declarations on Stock Prices During COVID-19 in India: An Event Study Approach. Research Bulletin, 48(3-4), 71–87. https://doi.org/10.33516/rb.v48i3-4.71-87p

References

Aharony, J., & Swary, I. (1980). Quarterly Dividend and Earnings Announcements and Stockholders’ Returns: An Empirical Analysis. The Journal of Finance, 35(1), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1980.tb03466.x

Anwar, S., Singh, S., & Jain, P. K. (2017). Impact of Cash Dividend Announcements: Evidence from the Indian Manufacturing Companies. Journal of Emerging Market Finance, 16(1), 29–60. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972652716686238

Arora, S., Patel, J., & Ubeja, S. (2015). Event Study on Stock Prices of Mahindra and Mahindra Ltd.: A Study on Launch of Mahindra e2o. FIIB Business Review, 4(4), 71–77. https://doi.org/10.1177/2455265820150411

Banerjee, S., & Dey, S. (2022). Impact of Mergers on Stock Prices: A Study with Reference to Public Sector Banks of India. Research Bulletin, 48(1–2), 131–152.

Brown, S. J., & Warner, J. B. (1985). Using daily stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 14(1), 3–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/0304-405X(85)90042-X

Fama, E. F. (1965). The Behavior of Stock-Market Prices. The Journal of Business, 38(1), 34–105.

Gupta, M., & Aggarwal, N. (2018). Signaling Effect of Shifts in Dividend Policy: Evidence from Indian Capital Markets. Business Perspectives and Research, 6(2), 142–153. https://doi.org/10.1177/2278533718764505

Ibrahim, Mohammad, & Mohammed. (2020). The Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Stock Markets: An Event Study. International Journal of Economics and Business Administration, VIII(Issue 4), 505–514. https://doi.org/10.35808/ijeba/602

Kalra, N., Gupta, S., & Bagga, R. (2013). A Wave of Mergers and Acquisitions: Are Indian Banks Going Up a Blind Alley? Global Business Review, 14(2), 263– 282. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150913477470

Kalsie, A. (2012). Study of the Weak Form of Market Efficiency: An Empirical Study of Indian Stock Market. FIIB Business Review, 1(2), 37–45. https://doi. org/10.1177/2455265820120208

Kumar, A., Soni, R., Hawaldar, I. T., Vyas, M., & Yadav, V. (2020). THE TESTING OF EFFICIENT MARKET HYPOTHESES: A STUDY OF INDIAN PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 10(3), 208– 216. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijefi.9764

Lalwani, V., Sharma, U., & Chakraborty, M. (2019). Investor reaction to extreme price shocks in stock markets: A cross country examination. IIMB Management Review, 31(3), 258–267. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iimb.2019.03.004

Legenzova, R., Jurakovaite, O., & Galinskaite, A. (2017). The Analysis of Dividend Announcement Impact on Stock Prices of Baltic Companies. Central European Business Review, 6(1), 61–76. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.cebr.173

Lodha, S., & Kumawat, E. (2022). Impact of Lockdown Announcement on Indian Banking Sector: An Event Study Approach. Orissa Journal of Commerce, 43(3), 29–40. https://doi.org/10.54063/ojc.2022.v43i03.03

Maitra, D., & Dey, K. (2012). Dividend Announcement and Market Response in Indian Stock Market: An Event-Study Analysis. Global Business Review, 13(2), 269–283. https://doi.org/10.1177/097215091201300206

Maneenop, S., & Kotcharin, S. (2020). The impacts of COVID-19 on the global airline industry: An event study approach. Journal of Air Transport Management, 89, 101920. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2020.101920

Mehla, S., & Goyal, S. K. (2012). Empirical Evidence on Weak Form of Efficiency in Indian Stock Market. Asia-Pacific Journal of Management Research and Innovation, 8(1), 59–68. https://doi.org/10.1177/2319510X1200800107

Pandey, D. K., & Kumari, V. (2022). Do dividend announcements override the pandemic impacts? Evidence from the BSE 500 constituent firms. Asia Pacific Management Review, 27(3), 210–219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j. apmrv.2021.09.002

Robinson, C. J., & Bangwayo-Skeete, P. (2017). Semi-strong Form Market Efficiency in Stock Markets with Low Levels of Trading Activity: Evidence from Stock Price Reaction to Major National and International Events. Global Business Review, 18(6), 1447–1464. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150917721768

Saravanakumar, S. (2011). Impact of Dividend Announcement on Indian Bourses. Global Business Review, 12(3), 401–413. https://doi.org/10.1177/097215091101200304

Sen, S., Singh, B. M., & Mazumder, S. (2017). Efficient market hypothesis: A study on Indian Capital Market. Research Bulletin, 42(4), 69–79. Sharpe, W. F. (1963). A simplified model for portfolio analysis. Management Science, 9(2), 277–293.

Singh, B., Dhall, R., Narang, S., & Rawat, S. (2020). The Outbreak of COVID-19 and Stock Market Responses: An Event Study and Panel Data Analysis for G-20 Countries. Global Business Review, 097215092095727. https://doi.org/10.1177/0972150920957274

Uddin, N., & Uddin, M. J. (2014). Dividend Announcement of the Commercial Banks in DSE: Scenario and Effect on Stock Price. 13. Walter, J. E. (1963). Dividend policy: Its influence on the value of the enterprise. The Journal of Finance, 18(2), 280–291.